NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
#Se7en: A Jimmie Johnson Story
It includes Jimmie Johnson instead of Morgan
Freeman and Brad Pitt, but for the next three weeks, NASCAR fans will be
treated to another star-studded tale called #Se7en.
With his victory at Martinsville Speedway, Jimmie
Johnson clinched the first berth in the Championship 4 race at
Homestead-Miami Speedway (Sunday, Nov. 20, 2:30 p.m. ET on NBC) where he
will attempt to tie NASCAR Hall of Famers Dale Earnhardt
and Richard Petty with a record seventh NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
championship.
The win in the Round of 8 opener gives Johnson’s
No. 48 Hendrick Motorsports team a strategic advantage because it can
focus strictly on building a car for Homestead – a place where Johnson
has never won. He has placed runner-up at the
South Florida track twice (2004 and 2010).
In the meantime, Johnson can help himself even more
by winning the upcoming races – Sunday’s AAA Texas 500 at Texas Motor
Speedway (2 p.m. ET on NBC) and the Can-Am 500 at Phoenix International
Raceway (Sunday, Nov. 13, 2:30 p.m. ET on
NBC). By visiting Victory Lane in those events, Johnson can block
automatic berths in the Championship 4 from two drivers on the outside
looking in who have had success at Homestead in their careers – Kevin
Harvick and Carl Edwards.
Harvick (7.2) and Edwards (9.5) claim the top-two
all-time average finishes at Homestead. Harvick finished runner-up at
the 1.5-mile track last year after winning the championship with a visit
to Victory Lane there in 2014. In 15 starts
at Homestead, Harvick boasts seven top fives and 13 top 10s. Edwards
has won at Homestead twice (2008, 2010). In 12 starts there, he claims
two wins, five top fives and seven top 10s.
Johnson is the favorite to visit Victory Lane in
the Lone Star State. He has won five of the past eight races at TMS,
including the last four fall races.
Johnson gave a coy answer when asked about his
strategy for the next two races, saying, “Just the big takeaway for us
over these next two weeks could be momentum. If we can run up front or
win again, I mean, that's just huge momentum for
the team. That's the big thing we have that could work for us going to
Homestead.”
If Johnson wins his seventh championship his 543
starts would be less than Earnhardt’s 676 to achieve the feat and
Petty’s 1,184.
Chase Grid Update
With the Round of 8 opener at Martinsville on the
books, here’s how the Chase Grid looks heading into Sunday’s AAA Texas
500 at Texas Motor Speedway: Jimmie Johnson (clinched Championship 4
berth with win at Martinsville), Denny Hamlin
(six points above Joey Logano on the cutoff line), Matt Kenseth (+6),
Kyle Busch (+4), Joey Logano (-4), Kevin Harvick (-16), Kurt Busch
(-18), Carl Edwards (-32).
Dream Of 4 Over For Joe Gibbs Racing
For the majority of the season, there was a
realistic possibility Joe Gibbs Racing could get all four of its drivers
into the Championship 4 race at Homestead-Miami Speedway. With Jimmie
Johnson’s win at Martinsville, the feat is now impossible,
but JGR could still get three competitors in.
Manning the second through fourth positions, JGR’s
Denny Hamlin (second), Matt Kenseth (third) and Kyle Busch (fourth)
occupy the final three Championship 4 spots via points heading into
Sunday’s AAA Texas 500. Carl Edwards, who wrecked
at Martinsville, is 32 points below Busch on the cutoff line and
essentially needs to win at Texas or Phoenix to make the Championship 4.
All four JGR drivers have strong resumes at Texas.
Busch won the spring race at Texas and will try to become the first
NASCAR Sprint Cup Series driver to sweep a track this season. In 21
starts at the 1.5-mile oval, he boasts two wins,
10 top fives, 11 top 10s and an 11.9 average finish. He has finished no
worse than fourth in his last four races in the Lone Star State, as
well as in five out of his last six contests there. His Texas average
running position (10.6) and driver rating (102.9)
rank third-best among active drivers.
Kenseth claims the series-best average running
position at Texas (9.2) and owns the second-best driver rating (104.9)
and average finish there (8.3). In 27 starts at the 1.5-mile track, he
has two wins, along with 13 top-five and 17 top-10
finishes.
Like Busch and Kenseth, Hamlin also has two Texas
wins. In 21 starts in the Lone Star State, Hamlin has also registered
five top fives and 10 top 10s. He has only logged one top-10 showing (a
seventh-place performance in 2013) in his last
10 Texas starts.
Edwards leads JGR drivers with three wins at TMS.
He also has seven top fives, 12 top 10s and an average finish of 14.2
there in 23 starts. His 97.6 Texas driver rating ranks fourth among
active drivers.
Texas Spoilers
Being out of the Chase doesn’t preclude a driver
from winning a race. Since the new Chase format was implemented in 2014,
four of 27 races have been won by non-Chase-eligible drivers (Jimmie
Johnson: Texas 2014, Texas 2015; Dale Earnhardt
Jr.: Martinsville 2014, Phoenix 2015).
Four non-Chase drivers in Sunday’s race have won at
Texas before: Greg Biffle (two victories), Tony Stewart (2), Kasey
Kahne and Ryan Newman.
Logano Looks For Second Championship 4 Appearance With Win At Texas
Joey Logano will attempt to capture his second
career Championship 4 appearance with a win in Sunday’s AAA Texas 500.
His only victory at Texas came in the 2014 spring race. Overall, Logano
also has six top fives and a 17.5 average finish
at the 1.5-mile track.
The numbers don’t look great at first glance, but
five of Logano’s six top-five Texas finishes have been registered in his
last seven races there. The No. 22 Team Penske driver enters the Lone
Star State coming off a string of consistent
finishes. He has accumulated 10 top-10 finishes in the last 12 races
dating back to Watkins Glen.
Harvick Going After First Texas Win
A 35-time NASCAR Sprint Cup Series winner, Kevin
Harvick has visited Victory Lane at every active track except for
Sonoma, Kentucky, Pocono and Texas – the site of Sunday’s AAA Texas 500.
Sitting 16 points below the cutoff line for
entrance into the Championship 4 race at Homestead-Miami Speedway,
Harvick could use a win. He is the only driver who has made both
Championship 4 races since the current Chase format was implemented
in 2014.
Harvick has come close to notching his elusive
Texas win with two runner-ups and a third-place showing in his last four
races at the 1.5-mile track. Overall, he claims six top fives, 15 top
10s and a 12.2 average finish in 27 starts in
the Lone Star State.
Fear not Harvick fans, if he fails to triumph this
weekend, he has one more shot at automatically advancing to the
championship four at Phoenix, where has won five of the last six races
and finished second in the one he didn’t visit Victory
Lane.
Harvick’s teammate Kurt Busch, who’s 20 points
below the cutoff line for advancement to the Championship 4, could also
use a win. In 27 Texas starts, he has one victory, three top fives and
15 top 10s. He finished ninth in this season’s
spring race at the 1.5-mile track and seventh in last year’s fall
contest.
NASCAR Sprint Cup Series, etc.
Texas Milestones - Hendrick Motorsports (8) can tie Roush Fenway Racing (9) for the most series wins at Texas with a win this weekend.
Carl Edwards, Tony Stewart, Ryan Newman and Martin
Truex Jr. are tied for the lead in series poles at Texas with two each,
if any of the four drivers wins the pole they will take the sole track
series lead in the category. A Truex pole
would make him the second driver this season (along with Edwards) to
earn a Coors Light Six Pack for six poles in a single season. If Truex
wins the six pack, Coors Light will donate $25,000 to the charity of his
choice.
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